AVAX value finds itself at a crucial technical juncture, with value motion flashing bearish alerts regardless of robust on-chain exercise on Avalanche.
After a steep downtrend that bottomed in mid-March, Avalanche (AVAX) value reversed from a double backside sample and started consolidating inside an ascending channel, sustaining bullish momentum via the top of the month, as confirmed by a rising RSI.
Since then, nonetheless, the value motion has developed into what seems like a descending triangle sample, with value now hovering close to key horizontal help. Importantly, AVAX price has additionally damaged under the ascending channel’s decrease boundary, suggesting a potential shift in market construction from bullish consolidation to rising bearish stress.
The value is now at a crucial make-or-break stage, the place the confluence of horizontal help (~$17.80 – $18.50), the decrease boundary of the descending triangle, and the not too long ago damaged ascending channel help intersect. This zone represents a serious determination level for the market. A break under this confluence space would seemingly verify the descending triangle breakdown, opening the door for a transfer towards $15.00.
With RSI nearing oversold and value sitting at multi-level help, the subsequent few day by day candles will likely be essential in figuring out whether or not AVAX resumes its bearish development or makes an attempt a bullish restoration from this confluence help zone.
This bearish value motion is unfolding regardless of Avalanche exhibiting robust on-chain exercise.
The current surge in transactions — largely pushed by area.commerce, a launchpad that enables customers to mint tradeable ERC–404–fashion tokens immediately from X posts utilizing a bonding-curve mechanism — has considerably boosted community metrics. Notably, the 7-day shifting common of day by day transactions has surpassed 1 million, its highest in over a yr.
Nevertheless, this spike in exercise hasn’t been accompanied by a sustained enhance in energetic addresses, indicating {that a} smaller group of customers is driving most of that quantity.
